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Long-Term Trends in the Public Perception of Artificial Intelligence
Ethan Fast, Eric Horvitz
September 16, 2016
AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence
452 citations
28 influential
Key Takeaways
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AI discussion has surged recently but remains net-optimistic: Since 2009, mentions of AI in the New York Times have increased sharply, and overall discussions have been "consistently more optimistic than pessimistic," suggesting the public maintains a generally favorable view of AI development despite growing concerns.
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Specific worries about AI control and ethics are accelerating: While overall sentiment remains positive, the paper identifies a troubling trend—concerns about "loss of control of AI, ethical concerns for AI, and the negative impact of AI on work have grown in recent years," indicating that public anxiety about AI risks is intensifying even as enthusiasm grows.
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Public hopes are concentrated in beneficial applications: The research finds that "hopes for AI in healthcare and education have increased over time," suggesting the public envisions concrete positive uses for AI in domains that directly improve human wellbeing, which could help guide responsible development priorities.
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Long-term perspective reveals cyclical patterns: By analyzing 30 years of coverage, the study shows that "general interest, awareness, and discussion about AI has waxed and waned," indicating that current AI enthusiasm should be understood within historical context—previous cycles of hype have been followed by periods of reduced interest.