FairnessTransparencyExplainabilitycs.SI
Dynamic Interest Rate Discovery in Decentralized Finance: A Reverse Kelly Automated Market Maker for Risk-Adjusted Lending
Sai Srikanth Madugula, Peplluis Esteva de la Rosa, Daya Shankar
July 5, 2026
arXiv.org
Key Takeaways
-
Risk-based pricing can expand lending access: The paper demonstrates that current DeFi lending protocols exclude many real-world assets (like corporate invoices) because they require excessive collateral. By pricing loans based on individual risk rather than one-size-fits-all rules, the proposed system could enable lending to borrowers who are currently locked out of decentralized finance.
-
Mathematical optimization improves fairness for lenders and borrowers: The Reverse Kelly pricing formula ($r = \frac{y + PD}{1 - PD}$) is mathematically proven to be more efficient than existing systems used by major platforms like Aave and Compound, potentially reducing unfair interest rate markups while still protecting lenders from losses.
-
Explainable AI for credit decisions enhances accountability: The system uses an "Explainable AI oracle" to assess loan default probability rather than opaque algorithms, which aligns with responsible AI principles by making credit decisions more transparent and auditable—important for borrowers to understand why they're approved or denied.
-
Data transparency infrastructure supports responsible deployment: The authors implement version control for loan data (via DVC and DagsHub) and track all system parameters (via MLflow), creating an auditable record of how the system evolves—a best practice for responsible AI systems that need oversight and accountability.
-
Decentralized design reduces single points of failure: By distributing the lending mechanism across smart contracts rather than centralizing it with one company, the system reduces risks from corporate mismanagement or regulatory capture, though it introduces new technical risks requiring careful security review.