Research Papers

This chapter discusses the opportunities of eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) within the realm of spatial analysis. A key objective in spatial analysis is to model spatial relationships and infer spatial processes to generate knowledge from spatial data, which has been largely based on spatial statistical methods. More recently, machine learning offers scalable and flexible approaches that complement traditional methods and has been increasingly applied in spatial data science. Despite its advantages, machine learning is often criticized for being a black box, which limits our understanding of model behavior and output. Recognizing this limitation, XAI has emerged as a pivotal field in AI that provides methods to explain the output of machine learning models to enhance transparency and understanding. These methods are crucial for model diagnosis, bias detection, and ensuring the reliability of results obtained from machine learning models. This chapter introduces key concepts and methods in XAI with a focus on Shapley value-based approaches, which is arguably the most popular XAI method, and their integration with spatial analysis. An empirical example of county-level voting behaviors in the 2020 Presidential election is presented to demonstrate the use of Shapley values and spatial analysis with a comparison to multi-scale geographically weighted regression. The chapter concludes with a discussion on the challenges and limitations of current XAI techniques and proposes new directions.

Beware of "Explanations" of AI

David Martens, Galit Shmueli, Theodoros Evgeniou +14

Understanding the decisions made and actions taken by increasingly complex AI system remains a key challenge. This has led to an expanding field of research in explainable artificial intelligence (XAI), highlighting the potential of explanations to enhance trust, support adoption, and meet regulatory standards. However, the question of what constitutes a "good" explanation is dependent on the goals, stakeholders, and context. At a high level, psychological insights such as the concept of mental model alignment can offer guidance, but success in practice is challenging due to social and technical factors. As a result of this ill-defined nature of the problem, explanations can be of poor quality (e.g. unfaithful, irrelevant, or incoherent), potentially leading to substantial risks. Instead of fostering trust and safety, poorly designed explanations can actually cause harm, including wrong decisions, privacy violations, manipulation, and even reduced AI adoption. Therefore, we caution stakeholders to beware of explanations of AI: while they can be vital, they are not automatically a remedy for transparency or responsible AI adoption, and their misuse or limitations can exacerbate harm. Attention to these caveats can help guide future research to improve the quality and impact of AI explanations.

A moving target in AI-assisted decision-making: Dataset shift, model updating, and the problem of update opacity

Joshua Hatherley

Machine learning (ML) systems are vulnerable to performance decline over time due to dataset shift. To address this problem, experts often suggest that ML systems should be regularly updated to ensure ongoing performance stability. Some scholarly literature has begun to address the epistemic and ethical challenges associated with different updating methodologies. Thus far, however, little attention has been paid to the impact of model updating on the ML-assisted decision-making process itself, particularly in the AI ethics and AI epistemology literatures. This article aims to address this gap in the literature. It argues that model updating introduces a new sub-type of opacity into ML-assisted decision-making -- update opacity -- that occurs when users cannot understand how or why an update has changed the reasoning or behaviour of an ML system. This type of opacity presents a variety of distinctive epistemic and safety concerns that available solutions to the black box problem in ML are largely ill-equipped to address. A variety of alternative strategies may be developed or pursued to address the problem of update opacity more directly, including bi-factual explanations, dynamic model reporting, and update compatibility. However, each of these strategies presents its own risks or carries significant limitations. Further research will be needed to address the epistemic and safety concerns associated with model updating and update opacity going forward.

Understanding uncertainty in Explainable AI (XAI) is crucial for building trust and ensuring reliable decision-making in Machine Learning models. This paper introduces a unified framework for quantifying and interpreting Uncertainty in XAI by defining a general explanation function $e_θ(x, f)$ that captures the propagation of uncertainty from key sources: perturbations in input data and model parameters. By using both analytical and empirical estimates of explanation variance, we provide a systematic means of assessing the impact uncertainty on explanations. We illustrate the approach using a first-order uncertainty propagation as the analytical estimator. In a comprehensive evaluation across heterogeneous datasets, we compare analytical and empirical estimates of uncertainty propagation and evaluate their robustness. Extending previous work on inconsistencies in explanations, our experiments identify XAI methods that do not reliably capture and propagate uncertainty. Our findings underscore the importance of uncertainty-aware explanations in high-stakes applications and offer new insights into the limitations of current XAI methods. The code for the experiments can be found in our repository at https://github.com/TeodorChiaburu/UXAI

Recent advances in the data-driven medicine approach, which integrates ethically managed and explainable artificial intelligence into clinical decision support systems (CDSS), are critical to ensure reliable and effective patient care. This paper focuses on comparing novel agent system designs that use modular agents to analyze laboratory results, vital signs, and clinical context, and to predict and validate results. We implement our agent system with the eICU database, including running lab analysis, vitals-only interpreters, and contextual reasoners agents first, then sharing the memory into the integration agent, prediction agent, transparency agent, and a validation agent. Our results suggest that the multi-agent system (MAS) performed better than the single-agent system (SAS) with mortality prediction accuracy (59\%, 56\%) and the mean error for length of stay (LOS)(4.37 days, 5.82 days), respectively. However, the transparency score for the SAS (86.21) is slightly better than the transparency score for MAS (85.5). Finally, this study suggests that our agent-based framework not only improves process transparency and prediction accuracy but also strengthens trustworthy AI-assisted decision support in an intensive care setting.

Exploring Energy Landscapes for Minimal Counterfactual Explanations: Applications in Cybersecurity and Beyond

Spyridon Evangelatos, Eleni Veroni, Vasilis Efthymiou +3

Counterfactual explanations have emerged as a prominent method in Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI), providing intuitive and actionable insights into Machine Learning model decisions. In contrast to other traditional feature attribution methods that assess the importance of input variables, counterfactual explanations focus on identifying the minimal changes required to alter a model's prediction, offering a ``what-if'' analysis that is close to human reasoning. In the context of XAI, counterfactuals enhance transparency, trustworthiness and fairness, offering explanations that are not just interpretable but directly applicable in the decision-making processes. In this paper, we present a novel framework that integrates perturbation theory and statistical mechanics to generate minimal counterfactual explanations in explainable AI. We employ a local Taylor expansion of a Machine Learning model's predictive function and reformulate the counterfactual search as an energy minimization problem over a complex landscape. In sequence, we model the probability of candidate perturbations leveraging the Boltzmann distribution and use simulated annealing for iterative refinement. Our approach systematically identifies the smallest modifications required to change a model's prediction while maintaining plausibility. Experimental results on benchmark datasets for cybersecurity in Internet of Things environments, demonstrate that our method provides actionable, interpretable counterfactuals and offers deeper insights into model sensitivity and decision boundaries in high-dimensional spaces.

The injection molding process is a traditional technique for making products in various industries such as electronics and automobiles via solidifying liquid resin into certain molds. Although the process is not related to creating the main part of engines or semiconductors, this manufacturing methodology sets the final form of the products. Re-cently, research has continued to reduce the defect rate of the injection molding process. This study proposes an optimal injection molding process control system to reduce the defect rate of injection molding products with XAI (eXplainable Artificial Intelligence) ap-proaches. Boosting algorithms (XGBoost and LightGBM) are used as tree-based classifiers for predicting whether each product is normal or defective. The main features to control the process for improving the product are extracted by SHapley Additive exPlanations, while the individual conditional expectation analyzes the optimal control range of these extracted features. To validate the methodology presented in this work, the actual injection molding AI manufacturing dataset provided by KAMP (Korea AI Manufacturing Platform) is employed for the case study. The results reveal that the defect rate decreases from 1.00% (Original defect rate) to 0.21% with XGBoost and 0.13% with LightGBM, respectively.

REVEAL: Robust Evolution of Vision-Language Models for Explainable AI-Video Detection

Yun-Yun Tsai, Qingyuan Liu, Ruijian Zha +4

The rapid advancement of AI-generated video poses challenges to digital authenticity and security. Current detection methods, often trained on specific datasets, struggle with the ever-evolving landscape of generative techniques and unseen manipulations. We introduce a framework leveraging Vision Language Models (VLMs) for robust AI-generated video detection. Our approach equips the VLM with the ability to reason about video content and use external tools to identify subtle inconsistencies, mirroring human system 2 thinking. Our self-evolving VLM dynamically selects and composes appropriate tools, enhancing its ability to generalize to novel video generation techniques. The modular design promotes interpretability, allowing for a clearer understanding of VLM's decision-making process. To evaluate, we establish the first benchmark VidForensic containing 1.4k+ high-quality AI-generated videos across eight generative models. Experiments show that REVEAL improves F1 scores by 9.1% to 30.2% over top baselines across our datasets for VLMs, notably for GPT-4o, Gemini 1.5 pro, and QWen-VL-Max, and Llava-One-Vision-7B. While open-world AI-video detection remains an open challenge, our results indicate that existing methods fail primarily because they lack tool-enabled, higher-order reasoning.

Ensuring Medical AI Safety: Interpretability-Driven Detection and Mitigation of Spurious Model Behavior and Associated Data

Frederik Pahde, Thomas Wiegand, Sebastian Lapuschkin +1

Deep neural networks are increasingly employed in high-stakes medical applications, despite their tendency for shortcut learning in the presence of spurious correlations, which can have potentially fatal consequences in practice. Whereas a multitude of works address either the detection or mitigation of such shortcut behavior in isolation, the Reveal2Revise approach provides a comprehensive bias mitigation framework combining these steps. However, effectively addressing these biases often requires substantial labeling efforts from domain experts. In this work, we review the steps of the Reveal2Revise framework and enhance it with semi-automated interpretability-based bias annotation capabilities. This includes methods for the sample- and feature-level bias annotation, providing valuable information for bias mitigation methods to unlearn the undesired shortcut behavior. We show the applicability of the framework using four medical datasets across two modalities, featuring controlled and real-world spurious correlations caused by data artifacts. We successfully identify and mitigate these biases in VGG16, ResNet50, and contemporary Vision Transformer models, ultimately increasing their robustness and applicability for real-world medical tasks. Our code is available at https://github.com/frederikpahde/medical-ai-safety.

Encrypted network communication ensures confidentiality, integrity, and privacy between endpoints. However, attackers are increasingly exploiting encryption to conceal malicious behavior. Detecting unknown encrypted malicious traffic without decrypting the payloads remains a significant challenge. In this study, we investigate the integration of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques to detect malicious network traffic. We employ ensemble learning models to identify malicious activity using multi-view features extracted from various aspects of encrypted communication. To effectively represent malicious communication, we compiled a robust dataset with 1,127 unique connections, more than any other available open-source dataset, and spanning 54 malware families. Our models were benchmarked against the CTU-13 dataset, achieving performance of over 99% accuracy, precision, and F1-score. Additionally, the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) model demonstrated 99.32% accuracy, 99.53% precision, and 99.43% F1-score on our custom dataset. By leveraging Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP), we identified that the maximum packet size, mean inter-arrival time of packets, and transport layer security version used are the most critical features for the global model explanation. Furthermore, key features were identified as important for local explanations across both datasets for individual traffic samples. These insights provide a deeper understanding of the model decision-making process, enhancing the transparency and reliability of detecting malicious encrypted traffic.

The justice system has increasingly employed AI techniques to enhance efficiency, yet limitations remain in improving the quality of decision-making, particularly regarding transparency and explainability needed to uphold public trust in legal AI. To address these challenges, we propose a large language model based multi-agent framework named AgentsBench, which aims to simultaneously improve both efficiency and quality in judicial decision-making. Our approach leverages multiple LLM-driven agents that simulate the collaborative deliberation and decision making process of a judicial bench. We conducted experiments on legal judgment prediction task, and the results show that our framework outperforms existing LLM based methods in terms of performance and decision quality. By incorporating these elements, our framework reflects real-world judicial processes more closely, enhancing accuracy, fairness, and society consideration. AgentsBench provides a more nuanced and realistic methods of trustworthy AI decision-making, with strong potential for application across various case types and legal scenarios.

Machine-generated music (MGM) has become a groundbreaking innovation with wide-ranging applications, such as music therapy, personalised editing, and creative inspiration within the music industry. However, the unregulated proliferation of MGM presents considerable challenges to the entertainment, education, and arts sectors by potentially undermining the value of high-quality human compositions. Consequently, MGM detection (MGMD) is crucial for preserving the integrity of these fields. Despite its significance, MGMD domain lacks comprehensive systematic evaluation results necessary to drive meaningful progress. To address this gap, we conduct experiments on existing large-scale datasets using a range of foundational models for audio processing, establishing systematic evaluation results tailored to the MGMD task. Our selection includes traditional machine learning models, deep neural networks, Transformer-based architectures, and State space models (SSM). Recognising the inherently multimodal nature of music, which integrates both melody and lyrics, we also explore fundamental multimodal models in our experiments. Beyond providing basic binary classification outcomes, we delve deeper into model behaviour using multiple explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) tools, offering insights into their decision-making processes. Our analysis reveals that ResNet18 performs the best according to in-domain and out-of-domain tests. By providing a comprehensive comparison of systematic evaluation results and their interpretability, we propose several directions to inspire future research to develop more robust and effective detection methods for MGM. We provide our codes and some samples on Github repository.