Research Papers

The growing number of AI applications, also for high-stake decisions, increases the interest in Explainable and Interpretable Machine Learning (XI-ML). This trend can be seen both in the increasing number of regulations and strategies for developing trustworthy AI and the growing number of scientific papers dedicated to this topic. To ensure the sustainable development of AI, it is essential to understand the dynamics of the impact of regulation on research papers as well as the impact of scientific discourse on AI-related policies. This paper introduces a novel framework for joint analysis of AI-related policy documents and eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) research papers. The collected documents are enriched with metadata and interconnections, using various NLP methods combined with a methodology inspired by Institutional Grammar. Based on the information extracted from collected documents, we showcase a series of analyses that help understand interactions, similarities, and differences between documents at different stages of institutionalization. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work to use automatic language analysis tools to understand the dynamics between XI-ML methods and regulations. We believe that such a system contributes to better cooperation between XAI researchers and AI policymakers.

Information Theoretic Evaluation of Privacy-Leakage, Interpretability, and Transferability for Trustworthy AI

Mohit Kumar, Bernhard A. Moser, Lukas Fischer +1

In order to develop machine learning and deep learning models that take into account the guidelines and principles of trustworthy AI, a novel information theoretic trustworthy AI framework is introduced. A unified approach to "privacy-preserving interpretable and transferable learning" is considered for studying and optimizing the tradeoffs between privacy, interpretability, and transferability aspects. A variational membership-mapping Bayesian model is used for the analytical approximations of the defined information theoretic measures for privacy-leakage, interpretability, and transferability. The approach consists of approximating the information theoretic measures via maximizing a lower-bound using variational optimization. The study presents a unified information theoretic approach to study different aspects of trustworthy AI in a rigorous analytical manner. The approach is demonstrated through numerous experiments on benchmark datasets and a real-world biomedical application concerned with the detection of mental stress on individuals using heart rate variability analysis.

Do not explain without context: addressing the blind spot of model explanations

Katarzyna Woźnica, Katarzyna Pękala, Hubert Baniecki +3

The increasing number of regulations and expectations of predictive machine learning models, such as so called right to explanation, has led to a large number of methods promising greater interpretability. High demand has led to a widespread adoption of XAI techniques like Shapley values, Partial Dependence profiles or permutational variable importance. However, we still do not know enough about their properties and how they manifest in the context in which explanations are created by analysts, reviewed by auditors, and interpreted by various stakeholders. This paper highlights a blind spot which, although critical, is often overlooked when monitoring and auditing machine learning models: the effect of the reference data on the explanation calculation. We discuss that many model explanations depend directly or indirectly on the choice of the referenced data distribution. We showcase examples where small changes in the distribution lead to drastic changes in the explanations, such as a change in trend or, alarmingly, a conclusion. Consequently, we postulate that obtaining robust and useful explanations always requires supporting them with a broader context.

On 26 January 2021, India witnessed a national embarrassment from the demographic least expected from - farmers. People across the nation watched in horror as a pseudo-patriotic mob of farmers stormed capital Delhi and vandalized the national pride- Red Fort. Investigations that followed the event revealed the existence of a social media trail that led to the likes of such an event. Consequently, it became essential and necessary to archive this trail for social media analysis - not only to understand the bread-crumbs that are dispersed across the trail but also to visualize the role played by misinformation and fake news in this event. In this paper, we propose the tractor2twitter dataset which contains around 0.05 million tweets that were posted before, during, and after this event. Also, we benchmark our dataset with an Explainable AI ML model for classification of each tweet into either of the three categories - disinformation, misinformation, and opinion.

The objective of an online Mart is to match buyers and sellers, to weigh animals and to oversee their sale. A reliable pricing method can be developed by ML models that can read through historical sales data. However, when AI models suggest or recommend a price, that in itself does not reveal too much (i.e., it acts like a black box) about the qualities and the abilities of an animal. An interested buyer would like to know more about the salient features of an animal before making the right choice based on his requirements. A model capable of explaining the different factors that impact the price point is essential for the needs of the market. It can also inspire confidence in buyers and sellers about the price point offered. To achieve these objectives, we have been working with the team at MartEye, a startup based in Portershed in Galway City, Ireland. Through this paper, we report our work-in-progress research towards building a smart video analytic platform, leveraging Explainable AI techniques.

Predicting Hyperkalemia in the ICU and Evaluation of Generalizability and Interpretability

Gloria Hyunjung Kwak, Christina Chen, Lowell Ling +3

Hyperkalemia is a potentially life-threatening condition that can lead to fatal arrhythmias. Early identification of high risk patients can inform clinical care to mitigate the risk. While hyperkalemia is often a complication of acute kidney injury (AKI), it also occurs in the absence of AKI. We developed predictive models to identify intensive care unit (ICU) patients at risk of developing hyperkalemia by using the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) and the eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD). Our methodology focused on building multiple models, optimizing for interpretability through model selection, and simulating various clinical scenarios. In order to determine if our models perform accurately on patients with and without AKI, we evaluated the following clinical cases: (i) predicting hyperkalemia after AKI within 14 days of ICU admission, (ii) predicting hyperkalemia within 14 days of ICU admission regardless of AKI status, and compared different lead times for (i) and (ii). Both clinical scenarios were modeled using logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), and XGBoost. Using observations from the first day in the ICU, our models were able to predict hyperkalemia with an AUC of (i) 0.79, 0.81, 0.81 and (ii) 0.81, 0.85, 0.85 for LR, RF, and XGBoost respectively. We found that 4 out of the top 5 features were consistent across the models. AKI stage was significant in the models that included all patients with or without AKI, but not in the models which only included patients with AKI. This suggests that while AKI is important for hyperkalemia, the specific stage of AKI may not be as important. Our findings require further investigation and confirmation.

PSD2 Explainable AI Model for Credit Scoring

Neus Llop Torrent, Giorgio Visani, Enrico Bagli

The aim of this project is to develop and test advanced analytical methods to improve the prediction accuracy of Credit Risk Models, preserving at the same time the model interpretability. In particular, the project focuses on applying an explainable machine learning model to bank-related databases. The input data were obtained from open data. Over the total proven models, CatBoost has shown the highest performance. The algorithm implementation produces a GINI of 0.68 after tuning the hyper-parameters. SHAP package is used to provide a global and local interpretation of the model predictions to formulate a human-comprehensive approach to understanding the decision-maker algorithm. The 20 most important features are selected using the Shapley values to present a full human-understandable model that reveals how the attributes of an individual are related to its model prediction.

In this comprehensive review, we describe a new mathematical problem in artificial intelligence (AI) from a mathematical modeling perspective, following the philosophy stated by Rudolf E. Kalman that "Once you get the physics right, the rest is mathematics". The new problem is called "Generalized Constraints (GCs)", and we adopt GCs as a general term to describe any type of prior information in modelings. To understand better about GCs to be a general problem, we compare them with the conventional constraints (CCs) and list their extra challenges over CCs. In the construction of AI machines, we basically encounter more often GCs for modeling, rather than CCs with well-defined forms. Furthermore, we discuss the ultimate goals of AI and redefine transparent, interpretable, and explainable AI in terms of comprehension levels about machines. We review the studies in relation to the GC problems although most of them do not take the notion of GCs. We demonstrate that if AI machines are simplified by a coupling with both knowledge-driven submodel and data-driven submodel, GCs will play a critical role in a knowledge-driven submodel as well as in the coupling form between the two submodels. Examples are given to show that the studies in view of a generalized constraint problem will help us perceive and explore novel subjects in AI, or even in mathematics, such as generalized constraint learning (GCL).

The Artificial Intelligence (AI) for Human-Robot Interaction (HRI) Symposium has been a successful venue of discussion and collaboration since 2014. In that time, the related topic of trust in robotics has been rapidly growing, with major research efforts at universities and laboratories across the world. Indeed, many of the past participants in AI-HRI have been or are now involved with research into trust in HRI. While trust has no consensus definition, it is regularly associated with predictability, reliability, inciting confidence, and meeting expectations. Furthermore, it is generally believed that trust is crucial for adoption of both AI and robotics, particularly when transitioning technologies from the lab to industrial, social, and consumer applications. However, how does trust apply to the specific situations we encounter in the AI-HRI sphere? Is the notion of trust in AI the same as that in HRI? We see a growing need for research that lives directly at the intersection of AI and HRI that is serviced by this symposium. Over the course of the two-day meeting, we propose to create a collaborative forum for discussion of current efforts in trust for AI-HRI, with a sub-session focused on the related topic of explainable AI (XAI) for HRI.

Until now, Coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 has caused more than 850,000 deaths and infected more than 27 million individuals in over 120 countries. Besides principal polymerase chain reaction (PCR) tests, automatically identifying positive samples based on computed tomography (CT) scans can present a promising option in the early diagnosis of COVID-19. Recently, there have been increasing efforts to utilize deep networks for COVID-19 diagnosis based on CT scans. While these approaches mostly focus on introducing novel architectures, transfer learning techniques, or construction large scale data, we propose a novel strategy to improve the performance of several baselines by leveraging multiple useful information sources relevant to doctors' judgments. Specifically, infected regions and heat maps extracted from learned networks are integrated with the global image via an attention mechanism during the learning process. This procedure not only makes our system more robust to noise but also guides the network focusing on local lesion areas. Extensive experiments illustrate the superior performance of our approach compared to recent baselines. Furthermore, our learned network guidance presents an explainable feature to doctors as we can understand the connection between input and output in a grey-box model.

Toward Personalized XAI: A Case Study in Intelligent Tutoring Systems

Cristina Conati, Oswald Barral, Vanessa Putnam +1

Our research is a step toward ascertaining the need for personalization, in XAI, and we do so in the context of investigating the value of explanations of AI-driven hints and feedback are useful in Intelligent Tutoring Systems (ITS). We added an explanation functionality for the adaptive hints provided by the Adaptive CSP (ACSP) applet, an interactive simulation that helps students learn an algorithm for constraint satisfaction problems by providing AI-driven hints adapted to their predicted level of learning. We present the design of the explanation functionality and the results of a controlled study to evaluate its impact on students' learning and perception of the ACPS hints. The study includes an analysis of how these outcomes are modulated by several user characteristics such as personality traits and cognitive abilities, to asses if explanations should be personalized to these characteristics. Our results indicate that providing explanations increase students' trust in the ACPS hints, perceived usefulness of the hints, and intention to use them again. In addition, we show that students' access of the explanation and learning gains are modulated by user characteristics, providing insights toward designing personalized Explainable AI (XAI) for ITS.

GRACE: Generating Concise and Informative Contrastive Sample to Explain Neural Network Model's Prediction

Thai Le, Suhang Wang, Dongwon Lee

Despite the recent development in the topic of explainable AI/ML for image and text data, the majority of current solutions are not suitable to explain the prediction of neural network models when the datasets are tabular and their features are in high-dimensional vectorized formats. To mitigate this limitation, therefore, we borrow two notable ideas (i.e., "explanation by intervention" from causality and "explanation are contrastive" from philosophy) and propose a novel solution, named as GRACE, that better explains neural network models' predictions for tabular datasets. In particular, given a model's prediction as label X, GRACE intervenes and generates a minimally-modified contrastive sample to be classified as Y, with an intuitive textual explanation, answering the question of "Why X rather than Y?" We carry out comprehensive experiments using eleven public datasets of different scales and domains (e.g., # of features ranges from 5 to 216) and compare GRACE with competing baselines on different measures: fidelity, conciseness, info-gain, and influence. The user-studies show that our generated explanation is not only more intuitive and easy-to-understand but also facilitates end-users to make as much as 60% more accurate post-explanation decisions than that of Lime.