Research Papers

In this position paper, we propose the use of existing XAI frameworks to design interventions in scenarios where algorithms expose users to problematic content (e.g. anti vaccine videos). Our intervention design includes facts (to indicate algorithmic justification of what happened) accompanied with either fore warnings or counterfactual explanations. While fore warnings indicate potential risks of an action to users, the counterfactual explanations will indicate what actions user should perform to change the algorithmic outcome. We envision the use of such interventions as `decision aids' to users which will help them make informed choices.

eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) is a sub-field of Artificial Intelligence (AI) that is at the forefront of AI research. In XAI, feature attribution methods produce explanations in the form of feature importance. People often use feature importance as guidance for intervention. However, a limitation of existing feature attribution methods is that there is a lack of explanation towards the consequence of intervention. In other words, although contribution towards a certain prediction is highlighted by feature attribution methods, the relation between features and the consequence of intervention is not studied. The aim of this paper is to introduce a new framework, called a peer influence framework to look deeper into explanations using graph representation for feature-to-feature interactions to improve the interpretability of black-box Machine Learning models and inform intervention.

Autonomous driving has achieved significant milestones in research and development over the last two decades. There is increasing interest in the field as the deployment of autonomous vehicles (AVs) promises safer and more ecologically friendly transportation systems. With the rapid progress in computationally powerful artificial intelligence (AI) techniques, AVs can sense their environment with high precision, make safe real-time decisions, and operate reliably without human intervention. However, intelligent decision-making in such vehicles is not generally understandable by humans in the current state of the art, and such deficiency hinders this technology from being socially acceptable. Hence, aside from making safe real-time decisions, AVs must also explain their AI-guided decision-making process in order to be regulatory compliant across many jurisdictions. Our study sheds comprehensive light on the development of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) approaches for AVs. In particular, we make the following contributions. First, we provide a thorough overview of the state-of-the-art and emerging approaches for XAI-based autonomous driving. We then propose a conceptual framework that considers the essential elements for explainable end-to-end autonomous driving. Finally, we present XAI-based prospective directions and emerging paradigms for future directions that hold promise for enhancing transparency, trustworthiness, and societal acceptance of AVs.

Machine learning is used in medicine to support physicians in examination, diagnosis, and predicting outcomes. One of the most dynamic area is the usage of patient generated health data from intensive care units. The goal of this paper is to demonstrate how we advance cross-patient ML model development by combining the patient's demographics data with their physiological data. We used a population of patients undergoing Carotid Enderarterectomy (CEA), where we studied differences in model performance and explainability when trained for all patients and one patient at a time. The results show that patients' demographics has a large impact on the performance and explainability and thus trustworthiness. We conclude that we can increase trust in ML models in a cross-patient context, by careful selection of models and patients based on their demographics and the surgical procedure.

Deep Learning has become overly complicated and has enjoyed stellar success in solving several classical problems like image classification, object detection, etc. Several methods for explaining these decisions have been proposed. Black-box methods to generate saliency maps are particularly interesting due to the fact that they do not utilize the internals of the model to explain the decision. Most black-box methods perturb the input and observe the changes in the output. We formulate saliency map generation as a sequential search problem and leverage upon Reinforcement Learning (RL) to accumulate evidence from input images that most strongly support decisions made by a classifier. Such a strategy encourages to search intelligently for the perturbations that will lead to high-quality explanations. While successful black box explanation approaches need to rely on heavy computations and suffer from small sample approximation, the deterministic policy learned by our method makes it a lot more efficient during the inference. Experiments on three benchmark datasets demonstrate the superiority of the proposed approach in inference time over state-of-the-arts without hurting the performance. Project Page: https://cvir.github.io/projects/rexl.html

The adoption of the Prospective Payment System (PPS) in the UK National Health Service (NHS) has led to the creation of patient groups called Health Resource Groups (HRG). HRGs aim to identify groups of clinically similar patients that share similar resource usage for reimbursement purposes. These groups are predominantly identified based on expert advice, with homogeneity checked using the length of stay (LOS). However, for complex patients such as those encountered in burn care, LOS is not a perfect proxy of resource usage, leading to incomplete homogeneity checks. To improve homogeneity in resource usage and severity, we propose a data-driven model and the inclusion of patient-level costing. We investigate whether a data-driven approach that considers additional measures of resource usage can lead to a more comprehensive model. In particular, a cost-sensitive decision tree model is adopted to identify features of importance and rules that allow for a focused segmentation on resource usage (LOS and patient-level cost) and clinical similarity (severity of burn). The proposed approach identified groups with increased homogeneity compared to the current HRG groups, allowing for a more equitable reimbursement of hospital care costs if adopted.

While predictive policing has become increasingly common in assisting with decisions in the criminal justice system, the use of these results is still controversial. Some software based on deep learning lacks accuracy (e.g., in F-1), and importantly many decision processes are not transparent, causing doubt about decision bias, such as perceived racial and age disparities. This paper addresses bias issues with post-hoc explanations to provide a trustable prediction of whether a person will receive future criminal charges given one's previous criminal records by learning temporal behavior patterns over twenty years. Bi-LSTM relieves the vanishing gradient problem, attentional mechanisms allow learning and interpretation of feature importance, and complex-valued networks inspired quantum physics to facilitate a certain level of transparency in modeling the decision process. Our approach shows a consistent and reliable prediction precision and recall on a real-life dataset. Our analysis of the importance of each input feature shows the critical causal impact on decision-making, suggesting that criminal histories are statistically significant factors, while identifiers, such as race and age, are not. Finally, our algorithm indicates that a suspect tends to rather than suddenly increase crime severity level over time gradually.

Understanding peacefulness through the world news

Vasiliki Voukelatou, Ioanna Miliou, Fosca Giannotti +1

Peacefulness is a principal dimension of well-being and is the way out of inequity and violence. Thus, its measurement has drawn the attention of researchers, policymakers, and peacekeepers. During the last years, novel digital data streams have drastically changed the research in this field. The current study exploits information extracted from a new digital database called Global Data on Events, Location, and Tone (GDELT) to capture peacefulness through the Global Peace Index (GPI). Applying predictive machine learning models, we demonstrate that news media attention from GDELT can be used as a proxy for measuring GPI at a monthly level. Additionally, we use explainable AI techniques to obtain the most important variables that drive the predictions. This analysis highlights each country's profile and provides explanations for the predictions, and particularly for the errors and the events that drive these errors. We believe that digital data exploited by researchers, policymakers, and peacekeepers, with data science tools as powerful as machine learning, could contribute to maximizing the societal benefits and minimizing the risks to peacefulness.

Explainable components in XAI algorithms often come from a familiar set of models, such as linear models or decision trees. We formulate an approach where the type of explanation produced is guided by a specification. Specifications are elicited from the user, possibly using interaction with the user and contributions from other areas. Areas where a specification could be obtained include forensic, medical, and scientific applications. Providing a menu of possible types of specifications in an area is an exploratory knowledge representation and reasoning task for the algorithm designer, aiming at understanding the possibilities and limitations of efficiently computable modes of explanations. Two examples are discussed: explanations for Bayesian networks using the theory of argumentation, and explanations for graph neural networks. The latter case illustrates the possibility of having a representation formalism available to the user for specifying the type of explanation requested, for example, a chemical query language for classifying molecules. The approach is motivated by a theory of explanation in the philosophy of science, and it is related to current questions in the philosophy of science on the role of machine learning.

This work documents a pilot user study evaluating the effectiveness of contrastive, causal and example explanations in supporting human understanding of AI in a hypothetical commonplace human robot interaction HRI scenario. In doing so, this work situates explainable AI XAI in the context of the social sciences and suggests that HRI explanations are improved when informed by the social sciences.

Pruning coupled with learning, ensembles of minimal neural networks, and future of XAI

Alexander N. Gorban, Evgeny M. Mirkes

Pruning coupled with learning aims to optimize the neural network (NN) structure for solving specific problems. This optimization can be used for various purposes: to prevent overfitting, to save resources for implementation and training, to provide explainability of the trained NN, and many others. The minimal structure that cannot be pruned further is not unique. Ensemble of minimal structures can be used as a committee of intellectual agents that solves problems by voting. Each minimal NN presents an "empirical knowledge" about the problem and can be verbalized. The non-uniqueness of such knowledge extracted from data is an important property of data-driven Artificial Intelligence (AI). In this work, we review an approach to pruning based on the principle: What controls training should control pruning. This principle is expected to work both for artificial NN and for selection and modification of important synaptic contacts in brain. In back-propagation artificial NN learning is controlled by the gradient of loss functions. Therefore, the first order sensitivity indicators are used for pruning and the algorithms based on these indicators are reviewed. The notion of logically transparent NN was introduced. The approach was illustrated on the problem of political forecasting: predicting the results of the US presidential election. Eight minimal NN were produced that give different forecasting algorithms. The non-uniqueness of solution can be utilised by creation of expert panels (committee). Another use of NN pluralism is to identify areas of input signals where further data collection is most useful. In Conclusion, we discuss the possible future of widely advertised XAI program.

Recently, a lot of attention has been given to undesired consequences of Artificial Intelligence (AI), such as unfair bias leading to discrimination, or the lack of explanations of the results of AI systems. There are several important questions to answer before AI can be deployed at scale in our businesses and societies. Most of these issues are being discussed by experts and the wider communities, and it seems there is broad consensus on where they come from. There is, however, less consensus on, and experience with how to practically deal with those issues in organizations that develop and use AI, both from a technical and organizational perspective. In this paper, we discuss the practical case of a large organization that is putting in place a company-wide methodology to minimize the risk of undesired consequences of AI. We hope that other organizations can learn from this and that our experience contributes to making the best of AI while minimizing its risks.