Research Papers

In this paper we examine the existing artificial intelligence (AI) policy documents in aviation for the following three regions: the United States, European Union, and China. The aviation industry has always been a first mover in adopting technological advancements. This early adoption offers valuable insights because of its stringent regulations and safety-critical procedures. As a result, the aviation industry provides an optimal platform to counter AI vulnerabilities through its tight regulations, standardization processes, and certification of new technologies. Keywords: AI in aviation; aviation safety; standardization; certifiable AI; regulations

Around 50 percent of Irelands rural population relies on unregulated private wells vulnerable to agricultural runoff and untreated wastewater. High national rates of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) and other waterborne illnesses have been linked to well water exposure. Periodic well testing is essential for public health, yet the lack of government incentives places the financial burden on households. Understanding environmental, cognitive, and material factors influencing well-testing behavior is critical. This study employs Agent-Based Modeling (ABM) to simulate policy interventions based on national survey data. The ABM framework, designed for private well-testing behavior, integrates a Deep Q-network reinforcement learning model and Explainable AI (XAI) for decision-making insights. Key features were selected using Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) with 10-fold cross-validation, while SHAP (Shapley Additive Explanations) provided further interpretability for policy recommendations. Fourteen policy scenarios were tested. The most effective, Free Well Testing plus Communication Campaign, increased participation to 435 out of 561 agents, from a baseline of approximately 5 percent, with rapid behavioral adaptation. Free Well Testing plus Regulation also performed well, with 433 out of 561 agents initiating well testing. Free testing alone raised participation to over 75 percent, with some agents testing multiple times annually. Scenarios with free well testing achieved faster learning efficiency, converging in 1000 episodes, while others took 2000 episodes, indicating slower adaptation. This research demonstrates the value of ABM and XAI in public health policy, providing a framework for evaluating behavioral interventions in environmental health.

The perspective of developing trustworthy AI for critical applications in science and engineering requires machine learning techniques that are capable of estimating their own uncertainty. In the context of regression, instead of estimating a conditional mean, this can be achieved by producing a predictive interval for the output, or to even learn a model of the conditional probability $p(y|x)$ of an output $y$ given input features $x$. While this can be done under parametric assumptions with, e.g. generalized linear model, these are typically too strong, and non-parametric models offer flexible alternatives. In particular, for scalar outputs, learning directly a model of the conditional cumulative distribution function of $y$ given $x$ can lead to more precise probabilistic estimates, and the use of proper scoring rules such as the weighted interval score (WIS) and the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) lead to better coverage and calibration properties. This paper introduces novel algorithms for learning probabilistic regression trees for the WIS or CRPS loss functions. These algorithms are made computationally efficient thanks to an appropriate use of known data structures - namely min-max heaps, weight-balanced binary trees and Fenwick trees. Through numerical experiments, we demonstrate that the performance of our methods is competitive with alternative approaches. Additionally, our methods benefit from the inherent interpretability and explainability of trees. As a by-product, we show how our trees can be used in the context of conformal prediction and explain why they are particularly well-suited for achieving group-conditional coverage guarantees.

The UK AI Safety Institute (UK AISI) and its parallel organisation in the United States (US AISI) take up a unique position in the recently established International Network of AISIs. Both are in jurisdictions with frontier AI companies and are assuming leading roles in the international conversation on AI Safety. This paper argues that it is in the interest of both institutions to share specific categories of information with the International Network of AISIs, deliberately abstain from sharing others and carefully evaluate sharing some categories on a case by case basis, according to domestic priorities. The paper further proposes a provisional framework with which policymakers and researchers can distinguish between these three cases, taking into account the potential benefits and risks of sharing specific categories of information, ranging from pre-deployment evaluation results to evaluation standards. In an effort to further improve the research on AI policy relevant information sharing decisions, the paper emphasises the importance of continuously monitoring fluctuating factors influencing sharing decisions and a more in-depth analysis of specific policy relevant information categories and additional factors to consider in future research.

Model-Free RL Agents Demonstrate System 1-Like Intentionality

Hal Ashton, Matija Franklin

This paper argues that model-free reinforcement learning (RL) agents, while lacking explicit planning mechanisms, exhibit behaviours that can be analogised to System 1 ("thinking fast") processes in human cognition. Unlike model-based RL agents, which operate akin to System 2 ("thinking slow") reasoning by leveraging internal representations for planning, model-free agents react to environmental stimuli without anticipatory modelling. We propose a novel framework linking the dichotomy of System 1 and System 2 to the distinction between model-free and model-based RL. This framing challenges the prevailing assumption that intentionality and purposeful behaviour require planning, suggesting instead that intentionality can manifest in the structured, reactive behaviours of model-free agents. By drawing on interdisciplinary insights from cognitive psychology, legal theory, and experimental jurisprudence, we explore the implications of this perspective for attributing responsibility and ensuring AI safety. These insights advocate for a broader, contextually informed interpretation of intentionality in RL systems, with implications for their ethical deployment and regulation.

Data science has emerged as fourth paradigm of scientific exploration. However many machine learning models operate as black boxes offering limited insight into the reasoning behind their predictions. This lack of transparency is one of the drawbacks to generate new knowledge from data. Recently Kolmogorov-Arnold Network or KAN has been proposed as an alternative model which embeds explainable AI. This study demonstrates the potential of KAN for new scientific exploration. KAN along with five other popular supervised machine learning models are applied to the well-known problem of airfoil lift prediction in aerospace engineering. Standard data generated from an earlier study on 2900 different airfoils is used. KAN performed the best with an R2 score of 96.17 percent on the test data, surpassing both the baseline model and Multi Layer Perceptron. Explainability of KAN is shown by pruning and symbolizing the model resulting in an equation for coefficient of lift in terms of input variables. The explainable information retrieved from KAN model is found to be consistent with the known physics of lift generation by airfoil thus demonstrating its potential to aid in scientific exploration.

Acceleration AI Ethics and the Telus GenAI Conversational Agent

James Brusseau

Acceleration ethics addresses the tension between innovation and safety in artificial intelligence. The acceleration argument is that risks raised by innovation should be answered with still more innovating. This paper summarizes the theoretical position, and then shows how acceleration ethics works in a real case. To begin, the paper summarizes acceleration ethics as composed of five elements: innovation solves innovation problems, innovation is intrinsically valuable, the unknown is encouraging, governance is decentralized, ethics is embedded. Subsequently, the paper illustrates the acceleration framework with a use-case, a generative artificial intelligence language tool developed by the Canadian telecommunications company Telus. While the purity of theoretical positions is blurred by real-world ambiguities, the Telus experience indicates that acceleration AI ethics is a way of maximizing social responsibility through innovation, as opposed to sacrificing social responsibility for innovation, or sacrificing innovation for social responsibility.

Developers play a central role in determining how machine learning systems are explained in practice, yet they are rarely trained to design explanations for non-technical audiences. Despite this, transparency and explainability requirements are increasingly codified in regulation and organizational policy. It remains unclear how such policies influence developer behavior or the quality of the explanations they produce. We report results from two controlled experiments with 194 participants, typical developers without specialized training in human-centered explainable AI, who designed explanations for an ML-powered diabetic retinopathy screening tool. In the first experiment, differences in policy purpose and level of detail had little effect: policy guidance was often ignored and explanation quality remained low. In the second experiment, stronger enforcement increased formal compliance, but explanations largely remained poorly suited to medical professionals and patients. We further observed that across both experiments, developers repeatedly produced explanations that were technically flawed or difficult to interpret, framed for developers rather than end users, reliant on medical jargon, or insufficiently grounded in the clinical decision context and workflow, with developer-centric framing being the most prevalent. These findings suggest that policy and policy enforcement alone are insufficient to produce meaningful end-user explanations and that responsible AI frameworks may overestimate developers' ability to translate high-level requirements into human-centered designs without additional training, tools, or implementation support.

Network slicing aims to enhance flexibility and efficiency in next-generation wireless networks by allocating the right resources to meet the diverse requirements of various applications. Managing these slices with machine learning (ML) algorithms has emerged as a promising approach however explainability has been a challenge. To this end, several Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) frameworks have been proposed to address the opacity in decision-making in many ML methods. In this paper, we propose a Prioritized Value-Decomposition Network (PVDN) as an XAI-driven approach for resource allocation in a multi-agent network slicing system. The PVDN method decomposes the global value function into individual contributions and prioritizes slice outputs, providing an explanation of how resource allocation decisions impact system performance. By incorporating XAI, PVDN offers valuable insights into the decision-making process, enabling network operators to better understand, trust, and optimize slice management strategies. Through simulations, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the PVDN approach with improving the throughput by 67% and 16%, while reducing latency by 35% and 22%, compared to independent and VDN-based resource allocation methods.

Artificial intelligence (AI) models are increasingly autonomous in decision-making, making pursuing responsible AI more critical than ever. Responsible AI (RAI) is defined by its commitment to transparency, privacy, safety, inclusiveness, and fairness. But while the principles of RAI are clear and shared, RAI practices and auditing mechanisms are still incipient. A key challenge is establishing metrics and benchmarks that define performance goals aligned with RAI principles. This paper describes how the ITACA AI auditing platform developed by Eticas.ai tackles demographic benchmarking when auditing AI recommender systems. To this end, we describe a Demographic Benchmarking Framework designed to measure the populations potentially impacted by specific AI models. The framework serves us as auditors as it allows us to not just measure but establish acceptability ranges for specific performance indicators, which we share with the developers of the systems we audit so they can build balanced training datasets and measure and monitor fairness throughout the AI lifecycle. It is also a valuable resource for policymakers in drafting effective and enforceable regulations. Our approach integrates socio-demographic insights directly into AI systems, reducing bias and improving overall performance. The main contributions of this study include:1. Defining control datasets tailored to specific demographics so they can be used in model training; 2. Comparing the overall population with those impacted by the deployed model to identify discrepancies and account for structural bias; and 3. Quantifying drift in different scenarios continuously and as a post-market monitoring mechanism.

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) offer the potential for reliable uncertainty quantification and interpretability, which are critical for trustworthy AI in high-stakes domains. However, existing methods often struggle with issues such as overconfidence, hyperparameter sensitivity, and posterior collapse, leaving room for alternative approaches. In this work, we advance message passing (MP) for BNNs and present a novel framework that models the predictive posterior as a factor graph. To the best of our knowledge, our framework is the first MP method that handles convolutional neural networks and avoids double-counting training data, a limitation of previous MP methods that causes overconfidence. We evaluate our approach on CIFAR-10 with a convolutional neural network of roughly 890k parameters and find that it can compete with the SOTA baselines AdamW and IVON, even having an edge in terms of calibration. On synthetic data, we validate the uncertainty estimates and observe a strong correlation (0.9) between posterior credible intervals and its probability of covering the true data-generating function outside the training range. While our method scales to an MLP with 5.6 million parameters, further improvements are necessary to match the scale and performance of state-of-the-art variational inference methods.

With the rapid growth of generative AI in numerous applications, explainable AI (XAI) plays a crucial role in ensuring the responsible development and deployment of generative AI technologies. XAI has undergone notable advancements and widespread adoption in recent years, reflecting a concerted push to enhance the transparency, interpretability, and credibility of AI systems. Recent research emphasizes that a proficient XAI method should adhere to a set of criteria, primarily focusing on two key areas. Firstly, it should ensure the quality and fluidity of explanations, encompassing aspects like faithfulness, plausibility, completeness, and tailoring to individual needs. Secondly, the design principle of the XAI system or mechanism should cover the following factors such as reliability, resilience, the verifiability of its outputs, and the transparency of its algorithm. However, research in XAI for generative models remains relatively scarce, with little exploration into how such methods can effectively meet these criteria in that domain. In this work, we propose PXGen, a post-hoc explainable method for generative models. Given a model that needs to be explained, PXGen prepares two materials for the explanation, the Anchor set and intrinsic & extrinsic criteria. Those materials are customizable by users according to their purpose and requirements. Via the calculation of each criterion, each anchor has a set of feature values and PXGen provides examplebased explanation methods according to the feature values among all the anchors and illustrated and visualized to the users via tractable algorithms such as k-dispersion or k-center.